In a joint editorial comment, ManufacturingHub.co.za and Ferronews.com argue that the recent power hikes will, contrary to popular belief be a catalyst for industrial growth and innovation in the country.
Much has been made about the impact of the recent multi-year tariff hikes which the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa) has granted to power utility Eskom.
“Power hikes to cost 250000 jobs” and “foreign investors to be scared off by power price increases” scream news headlines on many of South Africa’s leading newspapers and financial news sites.
Without trivialising the impact of a power crisis or the additional strain on the average South African consumers wallet, these headlines and press statements are mis-leading and ill-informed.
The bizarre assumption is that humans will do nothing to change their behaviour and the country as a whole will choose not to innovate to address this challenge. To attach such lemming-like characteristics to one of the most innovative regions in the world is mind-boggling.
Humans as a species evolve and anybody who implies that they will continue behaviour which negatively hits them in the pocket needs to have their head read.
US president Barack Obama recently commented that the US had to focus on the development of nuclear technology at home to meet their power supply. He made a poignant comment saying that if the US didn’t focus on developing these technologies at home, then competitors in foreign countries would and the US would be forced to import these technologies. The end result would be no jobs for Americans in this sector of the economy and his mind that was unacceptable.
This is precisely the attitude we as South Africa need to adopt in the light of the challenges facing the country.
So where are the opportunities?
While independent power production is still not viable in South Africa, it is fast coming to a point where it does become attractive. If you can participate in a market which has guarantees of price increases of 25% per year for the next three years, it is going to start to look attractive.
Innovation around alternative energy sources is going to be given the go-ahead. Green energy, nuclear, solar etcetera is going to come into vogue.
The same could be said for the agriculture sector. We know that resource giants like Vale and BHP Billiton are piling into the fertilizer sector and ratings agency Moodys says it expects this trend to grow as alternative energy sources are sought.
Increasing demand and funding for skilled engineers, researchers and developers to come up with innovative solutions. Already companies such as Sasol and Anglo American have been investing in their own independent supply technology. Educators, lecturers and trainers will be needed to support the demand for these professionals both in educational institutions as well as within corporates.
In conclusion we know that there is a shortage of electricity on the supply side and we recognise that South African consumers and municipalities remain cash-strapped.
However the talk of economic collapse and fall-out is overstated and dangerous when in fact the opportunities far outweigh the threats posed to the country.
Marc Ashton
ManufacturingHub.co.za and Ferronews.com
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